RB Leipzigvs
VfB StuttgartRB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaWed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig56%
- RB Leipzig 56%
- Draw 25%
- VfB Stuttgart 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 5 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. VfB Stuttgart's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. RB Leipzig's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart | 3–1 |
| 2025-05-17 | RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–3 |
| 2025-01-15 | VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2024-01-27 | VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig | 5–2 |
| 2023-08-25 | RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart | 5–1 |
| 2023-01-27 | RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-07 | VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2022-01-15 | VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig | 0–2 |
| 2021-08-20 | RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart kick off?
- Wed, 13 Jan 2027 19:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.