RB Leipzigvs
VfL WolfsburgRB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 15 Feb 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: RB Leipzig 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig64%
- RB Leipzig 64%
- Draw 21%
- VfL Wolfsburg 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RB Leipzig won 6 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RB Leipzig: WWLLW
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig | 0–1 |
| 2025-04-11 | VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig | 2–3 |
| 2024-11-30 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–5 |
| 2024-04-13 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-18 | VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig | 0–3 |
| 2022-08-27 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2022-01-23 | RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2021-08-29 | VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.