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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburgvs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 19 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: SC Freiburg 21 1. FC Heidenheim

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg60%

SC Freiburg 60%
Draw 22%
1. FC Heidenheim 18%
  • SC Freiburg 60%
  • Draw 22%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 60.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and SC Freiburg won 3 of 6, with 1 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SC Freiburg: LWLWL

1. FC Heidenheim: WLDWL

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 2.83Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-19SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim2–1
2025-12-061. FC Heidenheim vs SC Freiburg2–1
2025-02-08SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–0
2024-09-211. FC Heidenheim vs SC Freiburg0–3
2024-05-11SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–1
2023-12-201. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs SC Freiburg3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sun, 19 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.83 goals per game.

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