SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsBayer 04 Leverkusen crestBayer 04 Leverkusen

SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 27 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw73%

1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko27% / 27% / 47%
  • SC Freiburg
  • Draw
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SC Freiburg or draw53%
  • Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%
  • SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.559%
  • Under 2.541%

Both teams to score

  • SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.90Avg goals
  • 90%Both scored
  • 80%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-07SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–3
2025-10-26Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg2–0
2025-05-04SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
2024-12-21Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg5–1
2024-03-17SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2–3
2023-10-29Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg2–1
2023-02-26SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen1–1
2022-09-03Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg2–3
2022-05-14Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg2–1
2021-12-19SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
Sat, 27 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureBayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg18 Oct 2026 →