SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 27 Feb 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or draw73%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 47% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- SC Freiburg
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SC Freiburg or draw53%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%
- SC Freiburg or Bayer 04 Leverkusen73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.559%
- Under 2.541%
Both teams to score
- SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.90Avg goals
- 90%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–3 |
| 2025-10-26 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-04 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-12-21 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2023-10-29 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
| 2023-02-26 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–3 |
| 2022-05-14 | Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 27 Feb 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.90 goals per game.