SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsBorussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 22 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Borussia Dortmund to win50%

1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 50%.

Tofiko25% / 25% / 50%
  • SC Freiburg
  • Draw
  • Borussia Dortmund

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SC Freiburg or draw50%
  • Draw or Borussia Dortmund75%
  • SC Freiburg or Borussia Dortmund75%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.565%
  • Under 2.535%

Both teams to score

  • SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 50.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 4.30Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 90%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg4–0
2025-12-14SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund1–1
2025-04-05SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund1–4
2024-11-23Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg4–0
2024-02-09Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg3–0
2023-09-16SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund2–4
2023-02-04Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg5–1
2022-08-12SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund1–3
2022-01-14Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg5–1
2021-08-21SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund2–1

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FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
Sat, 22 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureBorussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg16 Jan 2027 →