SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 22 May 2027 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win50%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 50%.
- SC Freiburg
- Draw
- Borussia Dortmund
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SC Freiburg or draw50%
- Draw or Borussia Dortmund75%
- SC Freiburg or Borussia Dortmund75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.565%
- Under 2.535%
Both teams to score
- SC Freiburg, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 50.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 1 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–4 |
| 2024-11-23 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-02-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–4 |
| 2023-02-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2022-08-12 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-14 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2021-08-21 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund kick off?
- Sat, 22 May 2027 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.