Borussia Dortmundvs
SC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Borussia Dortmund66%
- Borussia Dortmund 66%
- Draw 21%
- SC Freiburg 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 65.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Borussia Dortmund: WDLWW
SC Freiburg: LWLWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–4 |
| 2024-11-23 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-02-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–4 |
| 2023-02-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2022-08-12 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-14 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2021-08-21 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.