Borussia Dortmundvs
SC FreiburgBorussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Borussia Dortmund to win66%
1X2: model backs Borussia Dortmund at 66%.
- Borussia Dortmund
- Draw
- SC Freiburg
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Borussia Dortmund or draw87%
- Draw or SC Freiburg34%
- Borussia Dortmund or SC Freiburg79%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.568%
- Under 2.532%
Both teams to score
- Borussia Dortmund, last 10 home games6 of 10
- SC Freiburg, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Borussia Dortmund, rating it at 65.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Borussia Dortmund won 8 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Borussia Dortmund: DWWWW
SC Freiburg: WWDWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 4.30Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 90%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2025-12-14 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–4 |
| 2024-11-23 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 4–0 |
| 2024-02-09 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–4 |
| 2023-02-04 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2022-08-12 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 1–3 |
| 2022-01-14 | Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg | 5–1 |
| 2021-08-21 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg?
- Tofiko's model favours Borussia Dortmund (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.