SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg50%
- SC Freiburg 50%
- Draw 27%
- Borussia Monchengladbach 23%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 49.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 5 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Borussia Monchengladbach's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. SC Freiburg's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Freiburg: WLWLW
Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Freiburg | 0–0 |
| 2025-04-12 | Borussia Monchengladbach vs SC Freiburg | 1–2 |
| 2024-11-30 | SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach | 3–1 |
| 2024-03-30 | Monchengladbach vs SC Freiburg | 0–3 |
| 2023-11-04 | SC Freiburg vs Monchengladbach | 3–3 |
| 2023-03-04 | Monchengladbach vs SC Freiburg | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-11 | SC Freiburg vs Monchengladbach | 0–0 |
| 2022-04-23 | SC Freiburg vs Monchengladbach | 3–3 |
| 2021-12-05 | Monchengladbach vs SC Freiburg | 0–6 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.