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SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg71%

SC Freiburg 71%
Draw 19%
FC Schalke 04 10%
  • SC Freiburg 71%
  • Draw 19%
  • FC Schalke 04 10%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 70.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and SC Freiburg won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

SC Freiburg: LWLWL

FC Schalke 04: WWWWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-23SC Freiburg vs Schalke 044–0
2022-10-30Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg0–2
2021-04-17SC Freiburg vs Schalke 044–0
2020-12-16Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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