SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg71%
- SC Freiburg 71%
- Draw 19%
- FC Schalke 04 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 70.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and SC Freiburg won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 70.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Freiburg: LWLWL
FC Schalke 04: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-23 | SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 | 4–0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg | 0–2 |
| 2021-04-17 | SC Freiburg vs Schalke 04 | 4–0 |
| 2020-12-16 | Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.