SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg69%

Tofiko69% / 19% / 12%
Market59% / 23% / 19%
  • SC Freiburg
  • Draw
  • FC Schalke 04

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 69.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and SC Freiburg won all of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. SC Freiburg's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 8 Oct 2026.

SC Freiburg: WDWWW

FC Schalke 04: WWDWD

Head-to-head

As of 8 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-23SC Freiburg vs Schalke 044–0
2022-10-30Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg0–2
2021-04-17SC Freiburg vs Schalke 044–0
2020-12-16Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg0–2

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FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureFC Schalke 04 vs SC Freiburg20 Feb 2027 →