SC Freiburg crestSC FreiburgvsHolstein Kiel crestHolstein Kiel

SC Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sat, 11 Jan 2025 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs SC Freiburg63%

Tofiko63% / 19% / 18%
Market71% / 18% / 11%
  • SC Freiburg
  • Draw
  • Holstein Kiel

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 62.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and SC Freiburg won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. SC Freiburg's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Holstein Kiel's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • SC Freiburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

SC Freiburg: DWWWW

Holstein Kiel: DLDLW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-10Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg1–2
2025-01-11SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel3–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel kick off?
Sat, 11 Jan 2025 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
What is the SC Freiburg vs Holstein Kiel head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legHolstein Kiel 1-2 SC Freiburg10 May 2025 →