SC Freiburgvs
VfL WolfsburgSC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSun, 03 May 2026 17:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SC Freiburg52%
- SC Freiburg 52%
- Draw 23%
- VfL Wolfsburg 25%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 51.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SC Freiburg won 7 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SC Freiburg: LWLWL
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2025-12-20 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg | 3–4 |
| 2025-04-26 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-13 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–2 |
| 2024-04-27 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2023-12-09 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-19 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2023-01-21 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg | 6–0 |
| 2022-03-12 | SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–2 |
| 2021-10-23 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg | 0–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sun, 03 May 2026 17:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.40 goals per game.