1. FC Union Berlinvs
FC Schalke 041. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin66%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 66%
- Draw 22%
- FC Schalke 04 12%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 65.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 4, with 3 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 18, at 3.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 10 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
FC Schalke 04: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 10 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-19 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 | 0–0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–6 |
| 2021-02-13 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 04 | 0–0 |
| 2020-10-18 | Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.