1. FC Union Berlin crest1. FC Union BerlinvsFC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

1. FC Union Berlin 1-3 FC Schalke 04 — Result, H2H & Form

German BundesligaFri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin64%

Tofiko64% / 20% / 16%
Market41% / 27% / 32%
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Draw
  • FC Schalke 04

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 63.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 1 of 5, with 3 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. FC Schalke 04's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

1. FC Union Berlin: LLLDW

FC Schalke 04: DWDLD

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 5Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-111. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 041–3
2023-02-191. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 040–0
2022-08-27Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–6
2021-02-131. FC Union Berlin vs Schalke 040–0
2020-10-18Schalke 04 vs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?
Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 kick off?
Fri, 11 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 0 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureFC Schalke 04 vs Union Berlin6 Feb 2027 →