1. FC Union Berlinvs
VfL Wolfsburg1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 18 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin48%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 48%
- Draw 25%
- VfL Wolfsburg 27%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and 1. FC Union Berlin won 4 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. VfL Wolfsburg's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. 1. FC Union Berlin's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin: LLDLD
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 30%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2025-12-06 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–1 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-23 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-10 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-16 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2023-03-12 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2022-09-18 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2022-03-05 | VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–0 |
| 2021-10-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 8 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.