VfB Stuttgartvs
1. FC KolnVfB Stuttgart 4-1 1. FC Koln — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaFri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart61%
- VfB Stuttgart 61%
- Draw 21%
- 1. FC Koln 18%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 61.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 7 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
VfB Stuttgart: LWWLW
1. FC Koln: DLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.40Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln | 4–1 |
| 2026-02-14 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | 1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–2 |
| 2024-02-24 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–2 |
| 2023-02-18 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-28 | 1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln | 2–1 |
| 2021-12-19 | 1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–0 |
| 2021-02-20 | 1. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 18:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.40 goals per game.