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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgartvs1. FC Koln crest1. FC Koln

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln Prediction, H2H & Stats

German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart63%

VfB Stuttgart 63%
Draw 24%
1. FC Koln 13%
  • VfB Stuttgart 63%
  • Draw 24%
  • 1. FC Koln 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 62.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 6 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL

1. FC Koln: DWLLD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-14VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln3–1
2025-09-281. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart1–2
2024-02-24VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln1–1
2023-09-301. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart0–2
2023-02-18VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln3–0
2022-08-281. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart0–0
2022-05-14VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln2–1
2021-12-191. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart1–0
2021-02-201. FC Koln vs VfB Stuttgart0–1
2020-10-23VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Koln head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

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