VfB Stuttgartvs
1.FSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfB Stuttgart54%
- VfB Stuttgart 54%
- Draw 27%
- 1.FSV Mainz 05 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 5 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL
1.FSV Mainz 05: DWWWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-11 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–4 |
| 2023-01-21 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-26 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.