VfB Stuttgartvs
1.FSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
VfB Stuttgart to win54%
1X2: model backs VfB Stuttgart at 54%.
- VfB Stuttgart
- Draw
- 1.FSV Mainz 05
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- VfB Stuttgart or draw81%
- Draw or 1.FSV Mainz 0546%
- VfB Stuttgart or 1.FSV Mainz 0573%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- VfB Stuttgart, last 10 home games7 of 10
- 1.FSV Mainz 05, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 54.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 5 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. 1.FSV Mainz 05's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. VfB Stuttgart's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- 1.FSV Mainz 05's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
VfB Stuttgart: WWWLL
1.FSV Mainz 05: LWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 94 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.30Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
| 2025-01-25 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 2–0 |
| 2024-08-31 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-11 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 3–1 |
| 2023-09-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–3 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 1–4 |
| 2023-01-21 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-16 | 1.FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–0 |
| 2021-11-26 | VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05?
- Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the VfB Stuttgart vs 1.FSV Mainz 05 head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 4 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.