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VfB Stuttgart crestVfB StuttgartvsVfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sun, 01 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: VfB Stuttgart 40 VfL Wolfsburg

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfB Stuttgart58%

VfB Stuttgart 58%
Draw 22%
VfL Wolfsburg 20%
  • VfB Stuttgart 58%
  • Draw 22%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfB Stuttgart, rating it at 57.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfB Stuttgart won 5 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • VfB Stuttgart's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart: WWWWL

VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-01VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg4–0
2025-10-18VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart0–3
2025-02-15VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg1–2
2024-09-28VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart2–2
2024-03-02VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart2–3
2023-10-07VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg3–1
2023-03-18VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg0–1
2022-10-01VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart3–2
2022-04-30VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
2021-12-11VfL Wolfsburg vs VfB Stuttgart0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Tofiko's model favours VfB Stuttgart (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg kick off?
Sun, 01 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfB Stuttgart vs VfL Wolfsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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