VfL Bochumvs
1. FC Union BerlinVfL Bochum 1-1 1. FC Union Berlin — Result, H2H & Form
German Bundesliga 2024-2025Sun, 27 Apr 2025 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs 1. FC Union Berlin43%
- VfL Bochum 32%
- Draw 25%
- 1. FC Union Berlin 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick 1. FC Union Berlin, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 7 times, and VfL Bochum won 3 of 7, with 2 drawn. Across 7 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Union Berlin's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. VfL Bochum's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- 1. FC Union Berlin's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
VfL Bochum: LWWLD
1. FC Union Berlin: DWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 7Games
- 3.29Avg goals
- 71%Both scored
- 57%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-27 | VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum | — |
| 2024-05-05 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum | 3–4 |
| 2023-12-16 | VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 3–0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum | 1–1 |
| 2022-10-23 | VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 2–1 |
| 2022-05-14 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum | 3–2 |
| 2021-12-18 | VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin?
- Tofiko's model favours 1. FC Union Berlin (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin kick off?
- Sun, 27 Apr 2025 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2024-2025.
- What is the VfL Bochum vs 1. FC Union Berlin head-to-head record?
- In their last 7 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.29 goals per game.