VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburgvs1. FC Heidenheim crest1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim — Result, H2H & Form

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 17 Jan 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg56%

  • VfL Wolfsburg 56%
  • Draw 22%
  • 1. FC Heidenheim 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 55.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. 1. FC Heidenheim's last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. VfL Wolfsburg's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • 1. FC Heidenheim's games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

VfL Wolfsburg: WDWDW

1. FC Heidenheim: WLLLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim1–1
2025-08-231. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg1–3
2025-03-29VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim0–1
2024-11-101. FC Heidenheim vs VfL Wolfsburg1–3
2024-01-201. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
2023-08-19VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim kick off?
Sat, 17 Jan 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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