VfL Wolfsburgvs
FC Bayern MunichVfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 09 May 2026 16:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 FC Bayern Munich
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Bayern Munich71%
- VfL Wolfsburg 11%
- Draw 18%
- FC Bayern Munich 71%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Bayern Munich, rating it at 70.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 18.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
FC Bayern Munich: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 4.10Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 0–1 |
| 2026-01-11 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg | 8–1 |
| 2025-01-18 | FC Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–2 |
| 2024-08-25 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich | 2–3 |
| 2024-05-12 | Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2023-12-20 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich | 1–2 |
| 2023-02-05 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–4 |
| 2022-08-14 | Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–0 |
| 2022-05-14 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern Munich | 2–2 |
| 2021-12-17 | Bayern Munich vs VfL Wolfsburg | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Bayern Munich (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich kick off?
- Sat, 09 May 2026 16:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Bayern Munich head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 4.10 goals per game.