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VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsBorussia Monchengladbach crestBorussia Monchengladbach

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: VfL Wolfsburg 00 Borussia Monchengladbach

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg45%

VfL Wolfsburg 45%
Draw 22%
Borussia Monchengladbach 33%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 45%
  • Draw 22%
  • Borussia Monchengladbach 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 3 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Borussia Monchengladbach's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD

Borussia Monchengladbach: WWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach0–0
2025-12-13Borussia Monchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg1–3
2025-05-17Borussia Monchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg0–1
2025-01-14VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach5–1
2024-04-07VfL Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach1–3
2023-11-10Monchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg4–0
2023-04-09Monchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg2–0
2022-10-15VfL Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach2–2
2022-02-26Monchengladbach vs VfL Wolfsburg2–2
2021-10-02VfL Wolfsburg vs Monchengladbach1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Monchengladbach head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.30 goals per game.

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