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VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL WolfsburgvsFC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg

VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats

German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: VfL Wolfsburg 23 FC Augsburg

Tofiko prediction

Model backs VfL Wolfsburg48%

VfL Wolfsburg 48%
Draw 23%
FC Augsburg 29%
  • VfL Wolfsburg 48%
  • Draw 23%
  • FC Augsburg 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD

FC Augsburg: LDLWW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 3.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg2–3
2025-10-04FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg3–1
2025-03-15FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg1–0
2024-11-02VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg1–1
2024-03-16VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg1–3
2023-10-28Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg3–2
2023-04-01VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg2–2
2022-10-08Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg1–1
2022-04-03Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg3–0
2021-11-06VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg?
Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg kick off?
Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.

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