VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 FC Augsburg
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg48%
- VfL Wolfsburg 48%
- Draw 23%
- FC Augsburg 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 48.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
FC Augsburg: LDLWW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.10Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg | 2–3 |
| 2025-10-04 | FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–1 |
| 2025-03-15 | FC Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–0 |
| 2024-11-02 | VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg | 1–1 |
| 2024-03-16 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg | 1–3 |
| 2023-10-28 | Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–2 |
| 2023-04-01 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg | 2–2 |
| 2022-10-08 | Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-03 | Augsburg vs VfL Wolfsburg | 3–0 |
| 2021-11-06 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Augsburg | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg kick off?
- Sat, 21 Feb 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs FC Augsburg head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.10 goals per game.