VfL Wolfsburgvs
Hamburger SVVfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Hamburger SV
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg45%
- VfL Wolfsburg 45%
- Draw 24%
- Hamburger SV 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 44.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
Hamburger SV: LWLDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-25 | Hamburger SV vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV kick off?
- Sat, 07 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.