VfL Wolfsburgvs
SV Werder BremenVfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German Bundesliga 2025-2026Sat, 21 Mar 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SV Werder Bremen
Tofiko prediction
Model backs VfL Wolfsburg46%
- VfL Wolfsburg 46%
- Draw 23%
- SV Werder Bremen 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick VfL Wolfsburg, rating it at 46.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and VfL Wolfsburg won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- VfL Wolfsburg's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
VfL Wolfsburg: WLWWD
SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.70Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 80%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–1 |
| 2025-11-07 | SV Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-01 | SV Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2024-10-20 | VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–4 |
| 2024-03-30 | Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 0–2 |
| 2023-11-05 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2023-01-28 | Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-06 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen | 2–2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Werder Bremen vs VfL Wolfsburg | 1–2 |
| 2020-11-27 | VfL Wolfsburg vs Werder Bremen | 5–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen?
- Tofiko's model favours VfL Wolfsburg (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen kick off?
- Sat, 21 Mar 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga 2025-2026.
- What is the VfL Wolfsburg vs SV Werder Bremen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 2 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 3.70 goals per game.