SV Werder Bremenvs
Bayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen58%
- SV Werder Bremen 18%
- Draw 24%
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 58%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 58.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SV Werder Bremen won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SV Werder Bremen: WWWWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWWD
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 5–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-03-12 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2022-09-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2021-01-09 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.