SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win58%
1X2: model backs Bayer 04 Leverkusen at 58%.
- SV Werder Bremen
- Draw
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- SV Werder Bremen or draw42%
- Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen82%
- SV Werder Bremen or Bayer 04 Leverkusen76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.561%
- Under 2.539%
Both teams to score
- SV Werder Bremen, last 10 home games6 of 10
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bayer 04 Leverkusen, rating it at 58.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SV Werder Bremen won 1 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW
Bayer 04 Leverkusen: WWWDW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 59 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-08 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 2–2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 5–0 |
| 2023-11-25 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
| 2023-03-12 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 2–3 |
| 2022-09-17 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2021-05-08 | Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen | 0–0 |
| 2021-01-09 | Bayer Leverkusen vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen?
- Tofiko's model favours Bayer 04 Leverkusen (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen kick off?
- Sat, 12 Dec 2026 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.