SV Werder Bremenvs
RB LeipzigSV Werder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig — Result, H2H & Form
German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig54%
- SV Werder Bremen 24%
- Draw 22%
- RB Leipzig 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SV Werder Bremen won 1 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. RB Leipzig's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. SV Werder Bremen's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- RB Leipzig's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
SV Werder Bremen: DWLWL
RB Leipzig: WLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 80%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-04 | SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-23 | RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-11 | RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-19 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-10 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.