SV Werder Bremenvs
RB LeipzigSV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction, H2H & Stats
German BundesligaSat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RB Leipzig56%
- SV Werder Bremen 19%
- Draw 25%
- RB Leipzig 56%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick RB Leipzig, rating it at 55.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and SV Werder Bremen won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SV Werder Bremen: DWWWW
RB Leipzig: WWWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2025-11-23 | RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen | 2–0 |
| 2025-05-10 | SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 0–0 |
| 2025-01-12 | RB Leipzig vs SV Werder Bremen | 4–2 |
| 2024-05-11 | RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen | 1–1 |
| 2023-12-19 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-14 | RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-12 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–2 |
| 2021-04-10 | Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig | 1–4 |
| 2020-12-12 | RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
- Tofiko's model favours RB Leipzig (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
- What is the SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.