SV Werder Bremen crestSV Werder BremenvsSC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg Prediction, H2H & Form

German BundesligaSat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

SC Freiburg or draw67%

1X2: model backs SC Freiburg at 38% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko33% / 29% / 38%
  • SV Werder Bremen
  • Draw
  • SC Freiburg

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • SV Werder Bremen or draw62%
  • Draw or SC Freiburg67%
  • SV Werder Bremen or SC Freiburg71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • SV Werder Bremen, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • SC Freiburg, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (297 games)63%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick SC Freiburg, rating it at 37.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and SV Werder Bremen won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • SV Werder Bremen's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

SV Werder Bremen: DLWDW

SC Freiburg: WWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 101 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen4–1
2026-02-07SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen1–0
2025-09-20SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg0–3
2025-02-21SC Freiburg vs SV Werder Bremen5–0
2024-10-05SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg0–1
2024-01-27Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg3–1
2023-08-26SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen1–0
2023-04-16Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg1–2
2022-10-22SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen2–0
2021-02-13Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg0–0

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FAQ

Who will win SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg?
Tofiko's model favours SC Freiburg (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg kick off?
Sat, 23 Jan 2027 14:30 GMT — German Bundesliga.
What is the SV Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder Bremen30 Aug 2026 →