Burnley F.C.vs
Manchester United F.C.Burnley F.C. 2-2 Manchester United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
English Premier LeagueWed, 07 Jan 2026 20:15 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Manchester United F.C.54%
- Burnley F.C. 22%
- Draw 23%
- Manchester United F.C. 54%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Burnley F.C.: LDLDD
Manchester United F.C.: WLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 8Games
- 2.88Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2024-04-27 | Manchester United vs Burnley | 1–1 |
| 2023-09-23 | Burnley vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
| 2022-02-08 | Burnley vs Manchester United | 1–1 |
| 2021-12-30 | Manchester United vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2021-04-18 | Manchester United vs Burnley | 3–1 |
| 2021-01-12 | Burnley vs Manchester United | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 07 Jan 2026 20:15 GMT — English Premier League.
- What is the Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.