Burnley F.C. crestBurnley F.C.vsManchester United F.C. crestManchester United F.C.

Burnley F.C. 2-2 Manchester United F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueWed, 07 Jan 2026 20:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Manchester United F.C.54%

Tofiko22% / 23% / 54%
Market21% / 24% / 56%
  • Burnley F.C.
  • Draw
  • Manchester United F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Manchester United F.C., rating it at 54.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Burnley F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Burnley F.C.: DLDLD

Manchester United F.C.: DLLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 2.88Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-07Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.2–2
2025-08-30Manchester United F.C. vs Burnley F.C.3–2
2024-04-27Manchester United vs Burnley1–1
2023-09-23Burnley vs Manchester United0–1
2022-02-08Burnley vs Manchester United1–1
2021-12-30Manchester United vs Burnley3–1
2021-04-18Manchester United vs Burnley3–1
2021-01-12Burnley vs Manchester United0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Manchester United F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. kick off?
Wed, 07 Jan 2026 20:15 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the Burnley F.C. vs Manchester United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.88 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legManchester United 3-2 Burnley30 Aug 2025 →