Southampton F.C. crestSouthampton F.C.vsArsenal F.C. crestArsenal F.C.

Southampton F.C. 1-2 Arsenal F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2024-2025Sun, 25 May 2025 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Arsenal F.C.72%

Tofiko9% / 19% / 72%
Market13% / 17% / 70%
  • Southampton F.C.
  • Draw
  • Arsenal F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Arsenal F.C., rating it at 72.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 8 times, and Southampton F.C. won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026.

Southampton F.C.: LWWDD

Arsenal F.C.: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026.

  • 8Games
  • 3.13Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 63%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-25Southampton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.1–2
2024-10-05Arsenal F.C. vs Southampton F.C.3–1
2023-04-21Arsenal vs Southampton3–3
2022-10-23Southampton vs Arsenal1–1
2022-04-16Southampton vs Arsenal1–0
2021-12-11Arsenal vs Southampton3–0
2021-01-26Southampton vs Arsenal1–3
2020-12-16Arsenal vs Southampton1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Southampton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Arsenal F.C. (72% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Southampton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. kick off?
Sun, 25 May 2025 15:00 GMT — English Premier League 2024-2025.
What is the Southampton F.C. vs Arsenal F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 3 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.13 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legArsenal 3-1 Southampton5 Oct 2024 →