West Ham United F.C. crestWest Ham United F.C.vsBrighton & Hove Albion F.C. crestBrighton & Hove Albion F.C.

West Ham United F.C. 2-2 Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier LeagueTue, 30 Dec 2025 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs West Ham United F.C.38%

  • West Ham United F.C. 38%
  • Draw 24%
  • Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks West Ham United F.C., rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and West Ham United F.C. won none of them. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 23.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • West Ham United F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

West Ham United F.C.: WDWL

Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.: LWWDW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.90Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-12-30West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.2–2
2025-12-07Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.1–1
2025-04-26Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. vs West Ham United F.C.3–2
2024-12-21West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.1–1
2024-01-02West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion0–0
2023-08-26Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United1–3
2023-03-04Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United4–0
2022-08-21West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion0–2
2022-05-22Brighton & Hove Albion vs West Ham United3–1
2021-12-01West Ham United vs Brighton & Hove Albion1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours West Ham United F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. kick off?
Tue, 30 Dec 2025 19:30 GMT — English Premier League.
What is the West Ham United F.C. vs Brighton & Hove Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 3 home wins, 5 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.

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