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RCD Mallorca crestRCD MallorcavsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 12 Apr 2026 14:15 GMTStatus: finished

Final: RCD Mallorca 30 Rayo Vallecano

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RCD Mallorca39%

RCD Mallorca 39%
Draw 28%
Rayo Vallecano 33%
  • RCD Mallorca 39%
  • Draw 28%
  • Rayo Vallecano 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick RCD Mallorca, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and RCD Mallorca won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RCD Mallorca: WWWLL

Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-12RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2026-01-11Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca2–1
2025-05-24Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca0–0
2024-10-20RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-11Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2023-09-30Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca2–2
2023-06-04Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2022-08-27Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca0–2
2022-05-15Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2021-11-22Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours RCD Mallorca (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 12 Apr 2026 14:15 GMT — La Liga.
What is the RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

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