Rayo Vallecanovs
RCD MallorcaRayo Vallecano 2-1 RCD Mallorca — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 11 Jan 2026 13:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano47%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- RCD Mallorca
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 46.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. RCD Mallorca's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
RCD Mallorca: WWDWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 70%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca | 0–0 |
| 2024-10-20 | RCD Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2024-02-11 | Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2023-09-30 | Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca | 2–2 |
| 2023-06-04 | Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca | 0–2 |
| 2022-05-15 | Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2021-11-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca kick off?
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 13:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Mallorca head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 7 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.