Atlanta United FCvs
Chicago FireAtlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire51%
- Atlanta United FC 28%
- Draw 21%
- Chicago Fire 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Atlanta United FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Atlanta United FC: LDLLL
Chicago Fire: LLWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-07-16 | Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.