Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsAtlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC

Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta United FC — Result, H2H & Form

USA MLSFri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire66%

  • Chicago Fire 66%
  • Draw 19%
  • Atlanta United FC 16%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 65.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Chicago Fire won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Chicago Fire: DDDLD

Atlanta United FC: LDLWW

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-10Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC0–0
2025-07-16Atlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire2–2
2025-05-10Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMT — USA MLS.
What is the Chicago Fire vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureAtlanta United FC vs Chicago Fire24 Oct 2026 →