Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

Orlando City vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Orlando City46%

Tofiko46% / 23% / 31%
  • Orlando City
  • Draw
  • New York City FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 46.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Orlando City: LLLWW

New York City FC: DLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-07-17Orlando City vs New York City FC1–2
2025-03-09New York City FC vs Orlando City2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Orlando City vs New York City FC kick off?
Sat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Orlando City vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNew York City FC 2-1 Orlando City SC9 Mar 2025 →