Orlando Cityvs
New York City FCOrlando City vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City46%
- Orlando City 46%
- Draw 23%
- New York City FC 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 46.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Orlando City: WLDDL
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 62 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-17 | Orlando City vs New York City FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-09 | New York City FC vs Orlando City | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.