Orlando City vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City46%
- Orlando City
- Draw
- New York City FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 46.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Orlando City: LLLWW
New York City FC: DLWLD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 22 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-17 | Orlando City vs New York City FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-03-09 | New York City FC vs Orlando City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.