Atlanta United FCvs
Columbus CrewAtlanta United FC 4-5 Columbus Crew — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 13 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Columbus Crew47%
- Atlanta United FC 30%
- Draw 24%
- Columbus Crew 47%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 46.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Atlanta United FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Atlanta United FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Atlanta United FC: WWLLD
Columbus Crew: LLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew | 4–5 |
| 2025-06-25 | Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew?
- Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew kick off?
- Sat, 13 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.