Columbus Crew crestColumbus CrewvsAtlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC

Columbus Crew 3-1 Atlanta United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 25 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Columbus Crew62%

  • Columbus Crew 62%
  • Draw 21%
  • Atlanta United FC 17%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Columbus Crew, rating it at 61.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Columbus Crew won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Columbus Crew: LWLLL

Atlanta United FC: LDLWW

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC2–0
2025-09-13Atlanta United FC vs Columbus Crew4–5
2025-06-25Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC3–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Columbus Crew (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
Wed, 25 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legAtlanta United FC 4-5 Columbus Crew13 Sept 2025 →