Austin FCvs
Atlanta United FCAustin FC 1-1 Atlanta United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 15 May 2025 01:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Austin FC49%
- Austin FC 49%
- Draw 27%
- Atlanta United FC 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Austin FC, rating it at 48.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Austin FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Atlanta United FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Austin FC: DWLDW
Atlanta United FC: WWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-15 | Austin FC vs Atlanta United FC | 1–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Atlanta United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Austin FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Austin FC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
- Thu, 15 May 2025 01:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Austin FC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.