Minnesota United FCvs
Austin FCMinnesota United FC 1-1 Austin FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 25 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC58%
- Minnesota United FC 58%
- Draw 25%
- Austin FC 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 57.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Minnesota United FC won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
Austin FC: DWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 25 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.