Austin FCvs
Minnesota United FCAustin FC 0-3 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC43%
- Austin FC 30%
- Draw 27%
- Minnesota United FC 43%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 43.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Austin FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Austin FC: DDWLD
Minnesota United FC: LLDWL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-25 | Minnesota United FC vs Austin FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (43% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Austin FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.