Austin FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesAustin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes41%
- Austin FC 36%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 41.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 22 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Austin FC: WLDWW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLDL
Head-to-head
As of 22 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC | 5–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.