Austin FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesAustin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes41%
- Austin FC 36%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 41.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Austin FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Austin FC: LWLLL
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC | 5–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Austin FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Austin FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.