Austin FCvs
Seattle Sounders FCAustin FC 3-1 Seattle Sounders FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC42%
- Austin FC 33%
- Draw 24%
- Seattle Sounders FC 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 42.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Austin FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Austin FC: DDWLD
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.