Seattle Sounders FCvs
Austin FCSeattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC59%
- Seattle Sounders FC 59%
- Draw 22%
- Austin FC 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 59.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 59.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL
Austin FC: LWLLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-21 | Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.