FC Cincinnativs
CF MontrealFC Cincinnati 3-0 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 18 Oct 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati64%
- FC Cincinnati 64%
- Draw 22%
- CF Montreal 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 64.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and FC Cincinnati won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
FC Cincinnati: LLDWD
CF Montreal: LLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal | 3–0 |
| 2025-06-25 | CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 18 Oct 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.