CF Montrealvs
FC CincinnatiCF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati51%
- CF Montreal 26%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 22 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
CF Montreal: WDDLL
FC Cincinnati: WDLWW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal | 3–0 |
| 2025-06-25 | CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.