CF Montrealvs
Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
USA MLSSat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union55%
- CF Montreal 21%
- Draw 24%
- Philadelphia Union 55%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
CF Montreal: LLDLD
Philadelphia Union: WWWDD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–0 |
| 2026-04-11 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.