CF Montrealvs
Philadelphia UnionCF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
USA MLSSat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union55%
- CF Montreal
- Draw
- Philadelphia Union
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. CF Montreal's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
CF Montreal: WLWLL
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–0 |
| 2026-04-11 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sat, 11 Apr 2026 18:30 GMT — USA MLS.
- What is the CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.