Philadelphia Unionvs
CF MontrealPhiladelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union62%
- Philadelphia Union 62%
- Draw 21%
- CF Montreal 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 62.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. CF Montreal's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
CF Montreal: LLDWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.