Philadelphia Unionvs
CF MontrealPhiladelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union62%
- Philadelphia Union 62%
- Draw 21%
- CF Montreal 16%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 62.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 62.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Philadelphia Union: DWLWL
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 14 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
| 2025-07-16 | Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-03 | CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.