Chicago Firevs
Charlotte FCChicago Fire 2-1 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire48%
- Chicago Fire 48%
- Draw 21%
- Charlotte FC 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Chicago Fire won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Chicago Fire: DDDLD
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.