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Chicago Fire crestChicago FirevsCharlotte FC crestCharlotte FC

Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chicago Fire48%

Chicago Fire 48%
Draw 21%
Charlotte FC 31%
  • Chicago Fire 48%
  • Draw 21%
  • Charlotte FC 31%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 48.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Chicago Fire won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Chicago Fire: LLWWW

Charlotte FC: WDWWL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-29Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC3–2
2025-05-17Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire1–4

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FAQ

Who will win Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC?
Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC kick off?
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

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