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Charlotte FC crestCharlotte FCvsNashville SC crestNashville SC

Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, H2H & Stats

USA MLSFri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Charlotte FC 00 Nashville SC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC45%

Charlotte FC 45%
Draw 24%
Nashville SC 30%
  • Charlotte FC 45%
  • Draw 24%
  • Nashville SC 30%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 45.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Charlotte FC won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Charlotte FC: WDWWL

Nashville SC: LWWWW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-26Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC4–2
2026-04-10Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC0–0
2025-05-11Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC2–1
2025-04-05Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC kick off?
Fri, 10 Apr 2026 22:12 GMT — USA MLS.
What is the Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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