Nashville SCvs
Charlotte FCNashville SC 2-1 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC46%
- Nashville SC 46%
- Draw 24%
- Charlotte FC 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 45.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Nashville SC: LDWWW
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC | 0–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Charlotte FC vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sun, 11 May 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.