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New England Revolution crestNew England RevolutionvsCharlotte FC crestCharlotte FC

New England Revolution 1-2 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 30 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Charlotte FC43%

  • New England Revolution 32%
  • Draw 25%
  • Charlotte FC 43%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 42.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and New England Revolution won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

New England Revolution: WLLDW

Charlotte FC: WDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-23Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution1–0
2026-05-02New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC1–0
2025-08-30New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC1–2
2025-04-26Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC?
Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC kick off?
Sat, 30 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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