New England Revolution 1-2 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 30 Aug 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC43%
- New England Revolution 32%
- Draw 25%
- Charlotte FC 43%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 42.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New England Revolution won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Charlotte FC: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | Charlotte FC vs New England Revolution | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sat, 30 Aug 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New England Revolution vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.