Charlotte FCvs
New York City FCCharlotte FC 2-0 New York City FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 13 Jul 2025 01:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC46%
- Charlotte FC 46%
- Draw 25%
- New York City FC 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 45.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Charlotte FC won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
New York City FC: LDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Charlotte FC vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
| 2026-04-17 | New York City FC vs Charlotte FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | New York City FC vs Charlotte FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Charlotte FC vs New York City FC | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sun, 13 Jul 2025 01:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.