New York City FCvs
Charlotte FCNew York City FC 2-0 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 15:59 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC44%
- New York City FC 44%
- Draw 25%
- Charlotte FC 31%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 44.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and New York City FC won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New York City FC: LLLLW
Charlotte FC: WDWLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Charlotte FC vs New York City FC | 0–1 |
| 2026-04-17 | New York City FC vs Charlotte FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | New York City FC vs Charlotte FC | 2–0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Charlotte FC vs New York City FC | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Sat, 20 Sep 2025 15:59 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.