Charlotte FCvs
New York Red BullsCharlotte FC 1-0 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 24 Aug 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC51%
- Charlotte FC 51%
- Draw 25%
- New York Red Bulls 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 51.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlotte FC won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls | 1–0 |
| 2025-05-28 | New York Red Bulls vs Charlotte FC | 4–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sun, 24 Aug 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.